With less than a week to the season, I’m going to crunch my pre-season picks into two posts. The first will look at the teams, the second the players and coaches. These are my predictions for the season.
Over the next 10 days or so I will look at each individual team a little more in detail with a five questions feature – I will ask five questions about the team heading into the year.
For the record
here are my 2009 pre-season predictions.Yes, I did pick TFC fifth and LA last. What’s your point. I also had SLC third, I’ll have you know. At any rate, predictions are best when they are dragged out months later in an effort to show just how stupid you are anyway.
So, here it goes:
No. 16 – San JoseEarthquakes fans should be overjoyed at this pick, seeing that I called the Galaxy as the league’s worse last year at this time. That said, it’s been a tough go of it the third time around for the Earthquakes. Eduardo Adelino da Silva, who must be good because he goes by one name, is likely the key, but he strikes me as a San Jose’s Pablo Vitti, if you follow. There is some young talent returning, especially up front, but another long year could be in store – 32 points, last in west, miss playoffs
No.15 – DallasFCD didn’t do anything to improve a team that wasn’t good enough last year. Yes, they went on a late run, but does anyone expect Jeff Cunningham to get that hot again? -- 37 points, seventh in west, miss playoffs
No. 14 – PhiladelphiaThe last time an expansion side came in without the benefit of a D2 season it was TFC. Philly doesn’t have to find Canadians, so they will be better, but this isn’t a Seattle situation either. I expect a tough team at home, but a team that lacks the ability to pull close games out. 37 points, eighth in east, miss playoffs.
No. 13 – Kansas CityThe Wizards made a lot of changes in the off-season and, as such, they might be the hardest team to peg this year. It strikes me as a bit too much turn-over as K.C. wasn’t that far off in 2009. It says here the team gets better as the season goes on, but digs itself an early hole it can’t get out of. 38 points, seventh in east, miss playoffs.
No. 12 – HoustonCall this one a hunch. On paper, Houston still looks to be a top half team, but this is a side that has been near the top for a long time and might be ready for a drop back. Pat Onstad can’t play forever and Stu Holden is going to be very hard to replace. A frustrating season with lots of late losses and dropped points. 39 points, sixth in west, miss playoffs
No. 11 – ChicagoChicago went for it in 2009 and will pay the price in ’10. Cuauhtémoc Blanco’s loss will be felt, as will Chris Rolfe. And who is going to play goal? 39 points, sixth in east, miss playoffs.
No. 10 – New EnglandThe Revs just keep on keeping on – and on many levels its foolish to pick them out of the playoffs – but one year things aren’t quite going to work out. The loss of Albright and Ralston’s leadership will hurt. 39 points, fifth in east, miss playoffs
No. 9 – New York Red BullsThe turnaround will be dramatic, but the depth just isn’t there to quite make the playoffs. A lot will hang on how healthy Angel can stay – and the grass at RBA will help. Regardless, the team will set itself up for 2011 (and a big DP signing) well and will be in the playoff push to the final week. 40 points, fourth in east, miss playoffs.
No. 8 – Toronto FCThey aren’t as bad as the preseason made them look and Mo Johnston gambled on an increase in the cap and won. The early schedule is kind to TFC, essentially giving it two extra weeks of a pre-season (which is likely why they feel comfortable being patient with signings). There is still four international/American slots and now that there is more money expect another forward and defender to be brought it. I’m banking on it and that the additions will be enough toi give TFC the one more point it needs to scrap into the playoffs. 41 points, third in east, loss in first-round, wins Voyageurs Cup.
No 7 – ColoradoIt says here that Conor Casey has an unconscious season and that Omar Cummings is a big reason why. The Rapids finally take full advantage of their home advantage and are the dark horse of 2010. 43 points, fifth in west, lose in eastern final.
No. 6 – GalaxyWe’re not sure about Beckham and Donovan, of course, but the strength of the Galaxy in 2009 was in an improved back-line and an organized style. That’s not going to change, but it’s reasonable to expect a slight fallback – especially if Landon finds his way back to England. 44 points, fourth in west, loss first round.
No. 5 – Salt LakeI don’t see a cup hangover. This is a team built on solid, workmanlike defence and underappreciated play from Kyle Beckerman. The loss of secondary scoring by Yura Movsisyan will hurt a bit, but the championship run will give the side confidence and keep them in the hunt for a regular season title. 47 points, third in west, loss west final
No. 4 – ChivasPreki gave this team its character – hard working, organized and better than a sum of its parts. He also defined its weakness – over trained, inflexible and ultimately a little short (*cough*) on talent. So, his departure could give the team the best of both worlds. His good lessons will still be there, but his failings can be addressed. It says here the team is about the same though. 47 points, second in west, loss first round.
No. 3 – DC UnitedUnited has made some smart additions in the off-season and will build off a solid young core to return to (near) the top. I don’t see enough depth to be a championship team just yet, but I’m not ready to write them off either. 48 points, second in east, loss MLS Cup final.
No. 2 – ColumbusThe core is great. It also asks a lot of an old Argentine that might run out of gas before the end of the year. The Crew will be the best team in the league until September. Then they will fade just out of the Supporter’s Shield race before crashing out of the playoffs to the west cross-over team for a second year in a row. 52 points, first in east, loss first round.
No. 1 – SeattleSeattle had the perfect storm to quickly produce a championship team. A year to build on before coming over. The money to go out and grab the best coach in the league and to do the work on the scouting side of things. Extra allocation to spend. A spectacular home field advantage (From the Field Turf as much as the noise – although both are a great combination). I see a dream season. 55 points, first in west, treble winner – Supporter’s Shield, MLS Cup and US Open Cup champion.